Evidence-Backed Consensus

Ask One Question. Get the Experts’ Consensus.

ConsensusOS analyzes a curated network of trusted experts to reveal where they agree, where they disagree, and the evidence behind both. Every report preserves meaningful disagreement instead of averaging it away. One question in. One defensible answer out.

Every claim source-linkedNo single-model guesswork
6
Coverage areas
800+
Tracked sources
Weekly
Consensus shifts
Interactive

The Consensus Map

Pick a domain and see where the world's credible sources land — the agreement score, the settled ground, and the open fight.

AI · Model capability, adoption curves, and labor impact

Will AI meaningfully displace knowledge work in the next 3 years?

Broad agreement on task-level displacement and augmentation; strong disagreement on the pace of full role replacement outside of support, translation and routine analysis.

Task automation

High confidence

Full role loss

Contested

Wage effects

Early / mixed

Agreement72%
Drawn from 148 tracked sources
Dissent is preserved, not averaged away.
Sample output

AI Consensus Reports

Every report is a verdict with its receipts attached — agreement score, reasoning, and the evidence trail.

Health84% agree

Do I need creatine if I already eat enough protein?

Consensus: yes, for strength and cognition

Across 41 controlled trials, creatine monohydrate shows consistent effects on strength output independent of dietary protein intake.

  • 41 RCTs reviewed
  • 3 meta-analyses
  • 2 dissenting reviews noted
Investing63% agree

Should I hold bonds at this point in the cycle?

Consensus: partial allocation, duration-limited

Analysts converge on short-to-intermediate duration exposure, while disagreeing sharply on long-duration risk premia.

  • 18 institutional outlooks
  • Fed dot-plot deltas
  • 2 contrarian desks flagged
AI71% agree

Is fine-tuning still worth it versus prompting?

Consensus: only past a clear data threshold

Practitioner consensus favors retrieval and prompting until task-specific data volume and latency budgets justify fine-tuning.

  • 27 practitioner reports
  • 9 benchmark studies
  • Cost curves compared
Coverage

Six domains, tracked continuously

Deep rather than infinite. Each area has its own source set, review cadence, and dissent register.

AI

Model capability, adoption curves, and labor impact

148 sources72% agreement

Bitcoin

Monetary thesis, custody, regulation and flows

96 sources64% agreement

Investing

Valuation, concentration risk and allocation

132 sources81% agreement

Housing

Supply, affordability and rate sensitivity

88 sources77% agreement

Health

Metabolic health, longevity and interventions

210 sources86% agreement

Energy

Grid build-out, nuclear and demand growth

74 sources69% agreement
Why consensus

Certainty is rare. Direction isn't.

ConsensusOS exists because the hard part was never finding information — it was knowing which version of it to trust.

One answer beats ten opinions

Search gives you a pile of links. A chatbot gives you one confident guess. Consensus gives you the weighted position of people who actually study the question.

Dissent is a feature

Every report keeps the strongest counter-argument intact, so you know exactly where the answer is fragile before you act on it.

Evidence you can hand to someone else

Source-linked claims, review counts, and methodology notes. Defensible enough for a board deck, a client, or your own money.

Consensus moves — you get told

When new evidence shifts the agreement score, we version the report and send the diff. No silent updates.

Pricing

Priced like a research desk, not a chatbot

Start free. Upgrade when a single good decision has already paid for the year.

Explorer

See how consensus is built before you commit.

$0forever
  • 3 consensus questions per month
  • Summary verdict and agreement score
  • Access to two coverage areas
Start free

Signal

Most picked

For operators who need an answer they can act on.

$29per month
  • Unlimited consensus questions
  • Full evidence trail and dissent view
  • All six coverage areas
  • Weekly consensus shift alerts
  • Export to PDF and Notion
Join Early Access

Desk

Shared research memory for teams and advisors.

$149per month
  • Everything in Signal
  • 5 seats included
  • Client-ready branded reports
  • Custom coverage area requests
  • Priority research turnaround
Talk to us
FAQ

Questions, answered plainly

A structured answer to one question that shows where credible sources agree, where they disagree, how strong the agreement is, and what evidence sits underneath each position.

A chatbot returns one confident answer. ConsensusOS returns the distribution: the majority position, the strongest dissent, the agreement score, and the sources behind both.

Peer-reviewed literature, institutional research, regulatory filings, and tracked expert commentary. Every claim in a report links back to what it was drawn from.

Reports are versioned. When new evidence moves the agreement score materially, subscribers get a consensus shift alert with a diff of what changed.

Desk customers can request custom coverage areas. Early access members can vote on which area we open next.

Join the early access list below. We onboard in weekly cohorts so every new member gets a guided first report.

Evidence-Backed Consensus

Get early access to ConsensusOS

We onboard in weekly cohorts. Members get their first consensus report built with them, plus a vote on the next coverage area we open.

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